Vegas Golden Knights at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions

2024-10-19 • Amerant Bank Arena

Florida Panthers 4 - 3 Vegas Golden Knights

Win Probability

FLA: 57.1%

VGK: 42.9%

Expected Goals

FLA: 3.03

VGK: 3.02

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 43%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • FLA at home vs VGK: 3-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-11-10	VGK 2 - 3 FLA	FLA	FLA
2025-10-25	FLA 3 - 0 VGK	FLA	VGK
2025-01-26	VGK 4 - 1 FLA	VGK	VGK
2024-10-19	FLA 4 - 3 VGK	FLA	FLA
2024-01-04	VGK 1 - 4 FLA	FLA	VGK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	FLA	16	0	0.68
1	VGK	14	0	0.66
2	FLA	18	0	0.60
2	VGK	16	1	1.27
3	FLA	22	1	1.56
3	VGK	7	1	0.50
4	FLA	6	0	0.58
4	VGK	1	0	0.11

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 57.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Florida Panthers 4 - 3 Vegas Golden Knights

Expected: 3.0 - 3.0