Vegas Golden Knights at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions
2024-10-19 • Amerant Bank Arena
Florida Panthers 4 - 3 Vegas Golden Knights
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
FLA: 53.0%
VGK: 47.0%
Expected Goals
FLA: 3.21
VGK: 3.14
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 61%
Over 6.5: 42%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
FLA
Sergei Bobrovsky - 21-17-1 | 0.871 SV% | 3.13 GAA
VGK
Akira Schmid - 16-6-6 | 0.895 SV% | 2.53 GAA
| Stat | FLA | VGK |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.888 | 0.895 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.837 | 0.891 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.959 | 0.885 |
| GAA | 2.80 | 2.50 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • FLA at home vs VGK: 3-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-10 | VGK 2 - 3 FLA | FLA | VGK |
| 2025-10-25 | FLA 3 - 0 VGK | FLA | FLA |
| 2025-01-26 | VGK 4 - 1 FLA | VGK | VGK |
| 2024-10-19 | FLA 4 - 3 VGK | FLA | FLA |
| 2024-01-04 | VGK 1 - 4 FLA | FLA | VGK |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19:27 | VGK | Goal |
| 2 | 01:09 | FLA | Goal |
| 2 | 14:15 | VGK | Goal |
| 2 | 19:20 | FLA | Goal |
| 3 | 07:30 | VGK | Goal |
| 3 | 12:43 | FLA | Goal |
| 4 | 04:43 | FLA | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 53.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.4
Score Breakdown
Florida Panthers 4 - 3 Vegas Golden Knights
Expected: 3.2 - 3.1