Washington Capitals at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions
2024-10-19 • Prudential Center
New Jersey Devils 5 - 6 Washington Capitals
🚨 Upset Loss (52% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NJD: 51.7%
WSH: 48.3%
Expected Goals
NJD: 4.00
WSH: 3.63
Total Goals
Median: 7.4
Over 5.5: 74%
Over 6.5: 63%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NJD
Jacob Markstrom - 15-13-1 | 0.882 SV% | 3.20 GAA
WSH
Logan Thompson - 20-16-4 | 0.913 SV% | 2.41 GAA
| Stat | NJD | WSH |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.884 | 0.913 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.899 | 0.904 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.928 |
| GAA | 3.32 | 2.39 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 10% • NJD at home vs WSH: 0-5
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-27 | NJD 3 - 4 WSH | WSH | NJD |
| 2025-11-15 | WSH 2 - 3 NJD | NJD | WSH |
| 2024-11-30 | NJD 5 - 6 WSH | WSH | NJD |
| 2024-11-23 | WSH 2 - 3 NJD | NJD | WSH |
| 2024-10-19 | NJD 5 - 6 WSH | WSH | NJD |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 04:45 | NJD | Goal |
| 1 | 06:01 | NJD | Goal |
| 1 | 10:14 | WSH | Goal |
| 1 | 14:18 | WSH | Goal |
| 2 | 00:34 | WSH | Goal |
| 2 | 00:44 | NJD | Goal |
| 2 | 09:15 | WSH | Goal |
| 2 | 12:33 | WSH | Goal |
| 3 | 03:39 | WSH | Goal |
| 3 | 12:28 | NJD | Goal |
| 4 | 04:00 | WSH | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 51.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 11.0
Expected: 7.6
Score Breakdown
New Jersey Devils 5 - 6 Washington Capitals
Expected: 4.0 - 3.6