Montreal Canadiens at New York Islanders NHL Predictions

2024-10-19 • UBS Arena

New York Islanders 4 - 3 Montreal Canadiens

Win Probability

NYI: 61.9%

MTL: 38.1%

Expected Goals

NYI: 3.84

MTL: 2.92

Total Goals

Median: 6.9

Over 5.5: 67%

Over 6.5: 55%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • NYI at home vs MTL: 3-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-12	NYI 1 - 4 MTL	MTL	NYI
2026-03-21	MTL 7 - 3 NYI	MTL	MTL
2026-02-26	MTL 3 - 4 NYI	NYI	MTL
2025-03-20	NYI 4 - 3 MTL	NYI	MTL
2024-12-03	MTL 2 - 1 NYI	MTL	NYI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYI	13	1	1.00
1	MTL	17	0	1.06
2	NYI	16	0	1.20
2	MTL	12	0	0.74
3	NYI	20	2	1.59
3	MTL	5	0	0.25
4	NYI	6	0	0.48
4	MTL	4	0	0.32
5	NYI	9	3	3.20
5	MTL	9	2	2.34

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 61.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.8

Score Breakdown

New York Islanders 4 - 3 Montreal Canadiens

Expected: 3.8 - 2.9