Vancouver Canucks at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions
2024-10-19 • Wells Fargo Center
Philadelphia Flyers 0 - 3 Vancouver Canucks
🚨 Upset Loss (52% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
PHI: 52.0%
VAN: 48.0%
Expected Goals
PHI: 3.18
VAN: 3.08
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 55%
Over 6.5: 42%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
PHI
Dan Vladar - 17-9-6 | 0.905 SV% | 2.46 GAA
VAN
Kevin Lankinen - 7-19-4 | 0.876 SV% | 3.67 GAA
| Stat | PHI | VAN |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.910 | 0.885 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.918 | 0.793 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.917 | — |
| GAA | 2.40 | 3.41 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • PHI at home vs VAN: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-30 | VAN 3 - 6 PHI | PHI | VAN |
| 2025-12-22 | PHI 5 - 2 VAN | PHI | PHI |
| 2024-10-19 | PHI 0 - 3 VAN | VAN | PHI |
| 2024-10-11 | VAN 2 - 3 PHI | PHI | VAN |
| 2023-12-28 | VAN 1 - 4 PHI | PHI | VAN |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16:09 | VAN | Goal |
| 2 | 08:40 | VAN | Goal |
| 2 | 09:30 | VAN | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 52.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
Philadelphia Flyers 0 - 3 Vancouver Canucks
Expected: 3.2 - 3.1