Carolina Hurricanes at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions

2024-10-19 • Enterprise Center

St. Louis Blues 4 - 3 Carolina Hurricanes

🚨 Upset Win (60% underdog)

Win Probability

STL: 40.4%

CAR: 59.6%

Expected Goals

STL: 3.06

CAR: 3.51

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 46%

STL

Joel Hofer - 8-8-2 | 0.901 SV% | 2.87 GAA

CAR

Pyotr Kochetkov - 6-2-0 | 0.899 SV% | 2.33 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
STL	Joel Hofer	40	37	3	92.5%	2.90	2	-0.10
CAR	Pyotr Kochetkov	19	15	4	78.9%	1.96	0	-2.04

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 40% • STL at home vs CAR: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-12	CAR 1 - 3 STL	STL	CAR
2026-01-13	STL 3 - 0 CAR	STL	CAR
2024-11-17	CAR 4 - 1 STL	CAR	CAR
2024-10-19	STL 4 - 3 CAR	STL	CAR
2024-04-12	STL 2 - 5 CAR	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	STL	6	0	0.29
1	CAR	27	2	1.78
2	STL	16	0	1.28
2	CAR	9	0	0.42
3	STL	6	0	0.40
3	CAR	18	0	0.70

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 59.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

St. Louis Blues 4 - 3 Carolina Hurricanes

Expected: 3.1 - 3.5