Buffalo Sabres at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions

2024-10-19 • United Center

Chicago Blackhawks 2 - 4 Buffalo Sabres

Win Probability

CHI: 49.8%

BUF: 50.2%

Expected Goals

CHI: 3.26

BUF: 3.18

Total Goals

Median: 5.7

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 40%

CHI

Arvid Soderblom - 4-7-1 | 0.873 SV% | 4.02 GAA

BUF

Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen - 7-5-1 | 0.903 SV% | 2.46 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CHI	Arvid Soderblom	22	18	4	81.8%	3.03	2	-0.97
BUF	Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen	37	35	2	94.6%	2.24	0	0.24

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 82% • CHI at home vs BUF: 1-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-10-03	BUF 4 - 3 CHI	BUF	BUF
2026-04-13	CHI 1 - 5 BUF	BUF	BUF
2025-11-21	BUF 9 - 3 CHI	BUF	BUF
2024-12-27	BUF 6 - 2 CHI	BUF	BUF
2024-10-19	CHI 2 - 4 BUF	BUF	BUF

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CHI	16	0	0.84
1	BUF	14	0	0.64
2	CHI	14	0	0.68
2	BUF	12	0	0.80
3	CHI	15	0	0.72
3	BUF	9	2	1.59

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 50.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Chicago Blackhawks 2 - 4 Buffalo Sabres

Expected: 3.3 - 3.2