Calgary Flames at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions

2024-10-19 • Climate Pledge Arena

Seattle Kraken 2 - 1 Calgary Flames

Win Probability

SEA: 53.7%

CGY: 46.3%

Expected Goals

SEA: 2.97

CGY: 2.71

Total Goals

Median: 5.6

Over 5.5: 51%

Over 6.5: 37%

SEA

Joey Daccord - 10-9-5 | 0.903 SV% | 2.77 GAA

CGY

Dan Vladar - 12-11-6 | 0.898 SV% | 2.80 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SEA	Joey Daccord	22	21	1	95.5%	1.79	1	0.79
CGY	Dan Vladar	23	21	2	91.3%	2.38	0	0.38

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 45% • SEA at home vs CGY: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-11	SEA 4 - 1 CGY	SEA	SEA
2026-01-05	CGY 1 - 5 SEA	SEA	SEA
2025-12-18	CGY 4 - 2 SEA	CGY	CGY
2025-03-25	CGY 4 - 3 SEA	CGY	CGY
2025-02-08	CGY 2 - 3 SEA	SEA	CGY

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SEA	10	0	0.60
1	CGY	15	1	0.65
2	SEA	11	0	0.78
2	CGY	15	0	0.49
3	SEA	16	0	0.70
3	CGY	16	0	0.66
4	SEA	2	0	0.30
4	CGY	0	0	0.00

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 53.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 5.7

Score Breakdown

Seattle Kraken 2 - 1 Calgary Flames

Expected: 3.0 - 2.7