Pittsburgh Penguins at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions
2024-10-20 • Canada Life Centre
Winnipeg Jets 6 - 3 Pittsburgh Penguins
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
WPG: 53.0%
PIT: 47.0%
Expected Goals
WPG: 3.51
PIT: 2.24
Total Goals
Median: 5.7
Over 5.5: 53%
Over 6.5: 36%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
WPG
Connor Hellebuyck - 13-16-7 | 0.900 SV% | 2.79 GAA
PIT
Stuart Skinner - 19-12-5 | 0.890 SV% | 2.79 GAA
| Stat | WPG | PIT |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.907 | 0.888 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.879 | 0.863 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.905 |
| GAA | 2.51 | 2.91 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 80% • WPG at home vs PIT: 3-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-01 | WPG 5 - 2 PIT | WPG | WPG |
| 2024-11-22 | PIT 1 - 4 WPG | WPG | PIT |
| 2024-10-20 | WPG 6 - 3 PIT | WPG | WPG |
| 2024-02-10 | WPG 2 - 1 PIT | WPG | WPG |
| 2024-02-06 | PIT 3 - 0 WPG | PIT | PIT |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 01:30 | PIT | Goal |
| 2 | 05:21 | PIT | Goal |
| 2 | 12:18 | PIT | Goal |
| 2 | 17:36 | WPG | Goal |
| 2 | 19:29 | WPG | Goal |
| 3 | 01:39 | WPG | Goal |
| 3 | 04:20 | WPG | Goal |
| 3 | 07:41 | WPG | Goal |
| 3 | 17:30 | WPG | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 53.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 5.7
Score Breakdown
Winnipeg Jets 6 - 3 Pittsburgh Penguins
Expected: 3.5 - 2.2