Pittsburgh Penguins at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2024-10-20 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 6 - 3 Pittsburgh Penguins

Win Probability

WPG: 65.5%

PIT: 34.5%

Expected Goals

WPG: 3.36

PIT: 2.91

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 47%

WPG

Eric Comrie - 6-9-1 | 0.880 SV% | 3.49 GAA

PIT

Alex Nedeljkovic - 14-15-5 | 0.894 SV% | 3.12 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
WPG	Eric Comrie	42	39	3	92.9%	4.18	3	1.18
PIT	Alex Nedeljkovic	37	31	6	83.8%	4.75	5	-1.25

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 64% • WPG at home vs PIT: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-10-05	PIT 2 - 3 WPG	WPG	PIT
2026-03-21	PIT 5 - 4 WPG	PIT	PIT
2025-11-01	WPG 5 - 2 PIT	WPG	WPG
2024-11-22	PIT 1 - 4 WPG	WPG	PIT
2024-10-20	WPG 6 - 3 PIT	WPG	WPG

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WPG	17	0	0.97
1	PIT	16	1	1.31
2	WPG	17	3	1.78
2	PIT	22	2	1.76
3	WPG	17	2	1.99
3	PIT	21	0	1.11

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 65.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Winnipeg Jets 6 - 3 Pittsburgh Penguins

Expected: 3.4 - 2.9