Pittsburgh Penguins at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions
2024-10-20 • Canada Life Centre
Winnipeg Jets 6 - 3 Pittsburgh Penguins
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
WPG: 77.7%
PIT: 22.3%
Expected Goals
WPG: 4.11
PIT: 2.67
Total Goals
Median: 8.1
Over 5.5: 84%
Over 6.5: 73%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
WPG
Connor Hellebuyck - 23-23-11 | 0.895 SV% | 2.86 GAA
PIT
Stuart Skinner - 23-17-9 | 0.888 SV% | 2.92 GAA
| Stat | WPG | PIT |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.907 | 0.888 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.867 | 0.886 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.875 | 0.905 |
| GAA | 2.51 | 2.91 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 100% • WPG at home vs PIT: 3-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-21 | PIT 5 - 4 WPG | PIT | PIT |
| 2025-11-01 | WPG 5 - 2 PIT | WPG | WPG |
| 2024-11-22 | PIT 1 - 4 WPG | WPG | WPG |
| 2024-10-20 | WPG 6 - 3 PIT | WPG | WPG |
| 2024-02-10 | WPG 2 - 1 PIT | WPG | WPG |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 01:30 | PIT | Goal |
| 2 | 05:21 | PIT | Goal |
| 2 | 12:18 | PIT | Goal |
| 2 | 17:36 | WPG | Goal |
| 2 | 19:29 | WPG | Goal |
| 3 | 01:39 | WPG | Goal |
| 3 | 04:20 | WPG | Goal |
| 3 | 07:41 | WPG | Goal |
| 3 | 17:30 | WPG | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 77.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 6.8
Score Breakdown
Winnipeg Jets 6 - 3 Pittsburgh Penguins
Expected: 4.1 - 2.7
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