Colorado Avalanche at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions
2024-10-20 • SAP Center at San Jose
San Jose Sharks 1 - 4 Colorado Avalanche
🚨 Upset Loss (50% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
SJS: 50.3%
COL: 49.7%
Expected Goals
SJS: 2.27
COL: 3.96
Total Goals
Median: 6.3
Over 5.5: 61%
Over 6.5: 48%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
SJS
Yaroslav Askarov - 17-15-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.53 GAA
COL
Scott Wedgewood - 21-4-5 | 0.913 SV% | 2.29 GAA
| Stat | SJS | COL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.896 | 0.919 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.874 | 0.891 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.908 | — |
| GAA | 3.36 | 2.13 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 78% • SJS at home vs COL: 1-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-04 | COL 4 - 2 SJS | COL | COL |
| 2025-11-26 | COL 6 - 0 SJS | COL | COL |
| 2025-11-01 | SJS 3 - 2 COL | SJS | SJS |
| 2025-03-06 | COL 7 - 3 SJS | COL | COL |
| 2024-12-19 | SJS 2 - 4 COL | COL | SJS |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 06:23 | COL | Goal |
| 1 | 16:37 | COL | Goal |
| 1 | 18:25 | COL | Goal |
| 3 | 09:57 | COL | Goal |
| 3 | 18:23 | COL | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 50.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
San Jose Sharks 1 - 4 Colorado Avalanche
Expected: 2.3 - 4.0