Los Angeles Kings at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions

2024-10-20 • Honda Center

Anaheim Ducks 1 - 4 Los Angeles Kings

Win Probability

ANA: 30.8%

LAK: 69.2%

Expected Goals

ANA: 2.37

LAK: 3.33

Total Goals

Median: 5.7

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 43%

ANA

Lukas Dostal - 13-9-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.15 GAA

LAK

David Rittich - 16-14-2 | 0.886 SV% | 2.84 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
ANA	Lukas Dostal	36	32	4	88.9%	4.45	5	0.45
LAK	David Rittich	14	13	1	92.9%	1.68	1	0.68

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 58% • ANA at home vs LAK: 3-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-17	ANA 2 - 1 LAK	ANA	LAK
2026-01-16	LAK 2 - 3 ANA	ANA	LAK
2025-12-27	LAK 6 - 1 ANA	LAK	LAK
2025-11-28	ANA 5 - 4 LAK	ANA	LAK
2025-04-10	LAK 6 - 1 ANA	LAK	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ANA	10	0	0.54
1	LAK	7	0	0.26
2	ANA	8	1	0.56
2	LAK	21	0	1.33
3	ANA	8	0	0.58
3	LAK	25	5	2.87

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 69.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 5.7

Score Breakdown

Anaheim Ducks 1 - 4 Los Angeles Kings

Expected: 2.4 - 3.3