Minnesota Wild at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions

2024-10-22 • Amerant Bank Arena

Florida Panthers 1 - 5 Minnesota Wild

Win Probability

FLA: 40.2%

MIN: 59.8%

Expected Goals

FLA: 3.07

MIN: 3.75

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 40%

FLA

Sergei Bobrovsky - 17-9-1 | 0.888 SV% | 2.80 GAA

MIN

Filip Gustavsson - 13-8-4 | 0.912 SV% | 2.47 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
FLA	Sergei Bobrovsky	22	17	5	77.3%	1.91	1	-3.09
MIN	Filip Gustavsson	25	24	1	96.0%	2.13	1	1.13

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • FLA at home vs MIN: 0-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-26	FLA 2 - 3 MIN	MIN	MIN
2026-01-24	MIN 3 - 4 FLA	FLA	MIN
2024-12-18	MIN 1 - 6 FLA	FLA	MIN
2024-10-22	FLA 1 - 5 MIN	MIN	MIN
2024-01-19	FLA 4 - 6 MIN	MIN	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	FLA	15	0	0.66
1	MIN	8	0	0.51
2	FLA	15	1	1.25
2	MIN	14	1	0.72
3	FLA	8	0	0.22
3	MIN	11	0	0.67

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 59.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.8

Score Breakdown

Florida Panthers 1 - 5 Minnesota Wild

Expected: 3.1 - 3.7