New York Rangers at Montreal Canadiens NHL Predictions
2024-10-22 • Centre Bell
Montreal Canadiens 2 - 7 New York Rangers
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
MTL: 49.6%
NYR: 50.4%
Expected Goals
MTL: 2.86
NYR: 4.11
Total Goals
Median: 6.6
Over 5.5: 68%
Over 6.5: 52%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
MTL
Jakub Dobes - 18-5-4 | 0.892 SV% | 2.96 GAA
NYR
Igor Shesterkin - 17-12-4 | 0.913 SV% | 2.45 GAA
| Stat | MTL | NYR |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.889 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.903 | 0.942 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.778 |
| GAA | 3.01 | 2.51 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 88% • MTL at home vs NYR: 2-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-13 | NYR 5 - 4 MTL | NYR | NYR |
| 2025-10-18 | MTL 3 - 4 NYR | NYR | MTL |
| 2025-01-19 | MTL 5 - 4 NYR | MTL | MTL |
| 2024-11-30 | NYR 4 - 3 MTL | NYR | NYR |
| 2024-10-22 | MTL 2 - 7 NYR | NYR | NYR |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 00:54 | NYR | Goal |
| 1 | 02:05 | NYR | Goal |
| 1 | 06:40 | NYR | Goal |
| 1 | 11:05 | NYR | Goal |
| 1 | 12:52 | NYR | Goal |
| 2 | 05:35 | NYR | Goal |
| 2 | 08:57 | NYR | Goal |
| 3 | 15:41 | NYR | Goal |
| 3 | 16:19 | NYR | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 50.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 7.0
Score Breakdown
Montreal Canadiens 2 - 7 New York Rangers
Expected: 2.9 - 4.1