Toronto Maple Leafs at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions

2024-10-22 • Nationwide Arena

Columbus Blue Jackets 6 - 2 Toronto Maple Leafs

Win Probability

CBJ: 54.6%

TOR: 45.4%

Expected Goals

CBJ: 3.11

TOR: 3.19

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 44%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • CBJ at home vs TOR: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-11-26	CBJ 1 - 2 TOR	TOR	CBJ
2025-11-20	TOR 2 - 3 CBJ	CBJ	CBJ
2025-10-29	CBJ 6 - 3 TOR	CBJ	CBJ
2025-04-05	TOR 5 - 0 CBJ	TOR	CBJ
2025-01-22	TOR 1 - 5 CBJ	CBJ	TOR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CBJ	21	1	1.28
1	TOR	10	0	0.63
2	CBJ	23	0	1.21
2	TOR	21	2	1.66
3	CBJ	10	0	0.61
3	TOR	11	1	0.98

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 54.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Columbus Blue Jackets 6 - 2 Toronto Maple Leafs

Expected: 3.1 - 3.2