Detroit Red Wings at New York Islanders NHL Predictions
2024-10-22 • UBS Arena
New York Islanders 0 - 1 Detroit Red Wings
🚨 Upset Loss (52% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NYI: 51.8%
DET: 48.2%
Expected Goals
NYI: 3.11
DET: 2.85
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 56%
Over 6.5: 41%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NYI
Ilya Sorokin - 20-13-2 | 0.916 SV% | 2.44 GAA
DET
John Gibson - 22-12-2 | 0.904 SV% | 2.62 GAA
| Stat | NYI | DET |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.910 | 0.893 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.930 | 0.887 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.940 | 0.841 |
| GAA | 2.55 | 2.97 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • NYI at home vs DET: 1-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-16 | DET 3 - 2 NYI | DET | DET |
| 2025-11-20 | DET 0 - 5 NYI | NYI | DET |
| 2025-10-23 | NYI 7 - 2 DET | NYI | NYI |
| 2024-11-25 | NYI 2 - 4 DET | DET | NYI |
| 2024-11-21 | DET 2 - 1 NYI | DET | DET |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08:54 | DET | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 51.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 1.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
New York Islanders 0 - 1 Detroit Red Wings
Expected: 3.1 - 2.8