Detroit Red Wings at New York Islanders NHL Predictions

2024-10-22 • UBS Arena

New York Islanders 0 - 1 Detroit Red Wings

🚨 Upset Loss (62% underdog)

Win Probability

NYI: 62.2%

DET: 37.8%

Expected Goals

NYI: 3.19

DET: 2.51

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 67%

Over 6.5: 49%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • NYI at home vs DET: 1-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-16	DET 3 - 2 NYI	DET	DET
2025-11-20	DET 0 - 5 NYI	NYI	NYI
2025-10-23	NYI 7 - 2 DET	NYI	NYI
2024-11-25	NYI 2 - 4 DET	DET	NYI
2024-11-21	DET 2 - 1 NYI	DET	NYI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYI	18	0	0.69
1	DET	5	0	0.35
2	NYI	21	0	1.20
2	DET	9	1	0.42
3	NYI	11	0	0.75
3	DET	4	0	0.15

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 62.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 1.0

Expected: 5.7

Score Breakdown

New York Islanders 0 - 1 Detroit Red Wings

Expected: 3.2 - 2.5