Boston Bruins at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions
2024-10-22 • Bridgestone Arena
Nashville Predators 4 - 0 Boston Bruins
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NSH: 72.1%
BOS: 27.9%
Expected Goals
NSH: 3.89
BOS: 1.72
Total Goals
Median: 5.4
Over 5.5: 49%
Over 6.5: 37%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NSH
Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA
BOS
Jeremy Swayman - 15-10-2 | 0.903 SV% | 2.84 GAA
| Stat | NSH | BOS |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.897 | 0.903 |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 2.93 | 2.84 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NSH | Juuse Saros | 33 | 33 | 0 | 100.0% | 3.33 | 2 | 3.33 |
| BOS | Jeremy Swayman | 42 | 38 | 4 | 90.5% | 4.88 | 5 | 0.88 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • NSH at home vs BOS: 2-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-05 | NSH 6 - 3 BOS | NSH | NSH |
| 2026-01-27 | BOS 3 - 2 NSH | BOS | NSH |
| 2025-03-04 | BOS 3 - 6 NSH | NSH | NSH |
| 2024-10-22 | NSH 4 - 0 BOS | NSH | NSH |
| 2024-04-02 | NSH 0 - 3 BOS | BOS | NSH |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NSH | 21 | 2 | 1.95 |
| 1 | BOS | 11 | 0 | 0.76 |
| 2 | NSH | 24 | 2 | 1.95 |
| 2 | BOS | 16 | 0 | 0.91 |
| 3 | NSH | 11 | 1 | 0.98 |
| 3 | BOS | 16 | 2 | 1.66 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 72.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 4.0
Expected: 5.6
Score Breakdown
Nashville Predators 4 - 0 Boston Bruins
Expected: 3.9 - 1.7
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