Carolina Hurricanes at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions
2024-10-22 • Rogers Place
Edmonton Oilers 2 - 3 Carolina Hurricanes
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
EDM: 38.0%
CAR: 62.0%
Expected Goals
EDM: 2.81
CAR: 3.41
Total Goals
Median: 6.2
Over 5.5: 60%
Over 6.5: 42%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
EDM
Tristan Jarry - 18-9-3 | 0.882 SV% | 3.32 GAA
CAR
Brandon Bussi - 31-6-2 | 0.894 SV% | 2.47 GAA
| Stat | EDM | CAR |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.906 | 0.901 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.837 | 0.887 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.839 | — |
| GAA | 2.73 | 2.33 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • EDM at home vs CAR: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-06 | EDM 3 - 6 CAR | CAR | EDM |
| 2025-11-15 | CAR 3 - 4 EDM | EDM | CAR |
| 2025-03-01 | CAR 1 - 3 EDM | EDM | CAR |
| 2024-10-22 | EDM 2 - 3 CAR | CAR | CAR |
| 2023-12-06 | EDM 6 - 1 CAR | EDM | EDM |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 03:34 | EDM | Goal |
| 2 | 02:30 | EDM | Goal |
| 3 | 00:44 | EDM | Goal |
| 3 | 13:29 | EDM | Goal |
| 4 | 04:53 | CAR | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 62.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Edmonton Oilers 2 - 3 Carolina Hurricanes
Expected: 2.8 - 3.4
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