Ottawa Senators at Utah Hockey Club NHL Predictions

2024-10-22 • Delta Center

Utah Hockey Club 0 - 4 Ottawa Senators

🚨 Upset Loss (51% underdog)

Win Probability

UTA: 50.9%

OTT: 49.1%

Expected Goals

UTA: 3.31

OTT: 2.90

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 43%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 75% • UTA at home vs OTT: 1-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-07	UTA 3 - 1 OTT	UTA	UTA
2025-11-09	OTT 4 - 2 UTA	OTT	OTT
2025-01-26	OTT 3 - 1 UTA	OTT	OTT
2024-10-22	UTA 0 - 4 OTT	OTT	UTA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	UTA	18	2	1.15
1	OTT	13	4	1.71
2	UTA	24	1	1.84
2	OTT	9	2	0.79
3	UTA	12	0	0.85
3	OTT	12	0	0.40

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 50.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Utah Hockey Club 0 - 4 Ottawa Senators

Expected: 3.3 - 2.9