Ottawa Senators at Utah Hockey Club NHL Predictions
2024-10-22 • Delta Center
Utah Hockey Club 0 - 4 Ottawa Senators
🚨 Upset Loss (53% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
UTA: 52.6%
OTT: 47.4%
Expected Goals
UTA: 2.85
OTT: 2.86
Total Goals
Median: 5.6
Over 5.5: 51%
Over 6.5: 36%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
UTA
Karel Vejmelka - 27-15-2 | 0.901 SV% | 2.61 GAA
OTT
Linus Ullmark - 16-8-5 | 0.884 SV% | 2.86 GAA
| Stat | UTA | OTT |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.895 | 0.881 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.897 | 0.882 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.970 | — |
| GAA | 2.68 | 2.95 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 75% • UTA at home vs OTT: 1-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-07 | UTA 3 - 1 OTT | UTA | UTA |
| 2025-11-09 | OTT 4 - 2 UTA | OTT | OTT |
| 2025-01-26 | OTT 3 - 1 UTA | OTT | OTT |
| 2024-10-22 | UTA 0 - 4 OTT | OTT | UTA |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11:43 | OTT | Goal |
| 1 | 13:06 | OTT | Goal |
| 1 | 18:05 | OTT | Goal |
| 1 | 19:52 | OTT | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 52.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 4.0
Expected: 5.7
Score Breakdown
Utah Hockey Club 0 - 4 Ottawa Senators
Expected: 2.9 - 2.9