San Jose Sharks at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions

2024-10-22 • Honda Center

Anaheim Ducks 3 - 1 San Jose Sharks

Win Probability

ANA: 56.4%

SJS: 43.6%

Expected Goals

ANA: 2.78

SJS: 3.23

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 66%

Over 6.5: 50%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 82% • ANA at home vs SJS: 5-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-09	ANA 6 - 1 SJS	ANA	ANA
2026-04-01	SJS 4 - 3 ANA	SJS	SJS
2025-12-29	ANA 4 - 5 SJS	SJS	ANA
2025-10-11	SJS 6 - 7 ANA	ANA	ANA
2025-04-01	ANA 4 - 3 SJS	ANA	ANA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ANA	20	0	0.84
1	SJS	15	0	1.05
2	ANA	24	0	1.58
2	SJS	17	0	0.87
3	ANA	15	2	1.48
3	SJS	16	0	0.60

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 56.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Anaheim Ducks 3 - 1 San Jose Sharks

Expected: 2.8 - 3.2