Colorado Avalanche at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions

2024-10-22 • Climate Pledge Arena

Seattle Kraken 2 - 3 Colorado Avalanche

Win Probability

SEA: 38.1%

COL: 61.9%

Expected Goals

SEA: 2.13

COL: 3.07

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 41%

SEA

Philipp Grubauer - 7-3-1 | 0.920 SV% | 2.32 GAA

COL

Justus Annunen - 8-4-1 | 0.928 SV% | 2.25 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SEA	Philipp Grubauer	28	25	3	89.3%	2.80	0	-0.20
COL	Justus Annunen	27	25	2	92.6%	2.90	1	0.90

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 89% • SEA at home vs COL: 0-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-16	COL 2 - 0 SEA	COL	COL
2026-03-12	SEA 1 - 5 COL	COL	COL
2025-12-16	SEA 3 - 5 COL	COL	COL
2024-12-22	COL 5 - 2 SEA	COL	COL
2024-11-05	COL 6 - 3 SEA	COL	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SEA	19	0	1.26
1	COL	10	0	0.50
2	SEA	11	0	0.65
2	COL	21	0	1.59
3	SEA	17	1	0.99
3	COL	12	0	0.71

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 61.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 5.2

Score Breakdown

Seattle Kraken 2 - 3 Colorado Avalanche

Expected: 2.1 - 3.1