Los Angeles Kings at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions
2024-10-22 • T-Mobile Arena
Vegas Golden Knights 6 - 1 Los Angeles Kings
🚨 Upset Win (64% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
VGK: 36.0%
LAK: 64.0%
Expected Goals
VGK: 3.01
LAK: 2.97
Total Goals
Median: 5.7
Over 5.5: 52%
Over 6.5: 38%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
VGK
Akira Schmid - 16-10-6 | 0.893 SV% | 2.59 GAA
LAK
Darcy Kuemper - 19-14-15 | 0.891 SV% | 2.78 GAA
| Stat | VGK | LAK |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.895 | 0.913 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.879 | 0.833 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.917 | 0.889 |
| GAA | 2.50 | 2.27 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 45% • VGK at home vs LAK: 3-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-25 | LAK 4 - 6 VGK | VGK | VGK |
| 2026-02-05 | VGK 4 - 1 LAK | VGK | VGK |
| 2026-01-14 | LAK 2 - 3 VGK | VGK | VGK |
| 2025-10-08 | VGK 5 - 6 LAK | LAK | VGK |
| 2025-03-09 | VGK 5 - 6 LAK | LAK | VGK |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 09:07 | VGK | Goal |
| 1 | 13:51 | VGK | Goal |
| 1 | 15:12 | VGK | Goal |
| 2 | 19:07 | VGK | Goal |
| 3 | 02:59 | VGK | Goal |
| 3 | 08:26 | VGK | Goal |
| 3 | 13:25 | VGK | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 64.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
Vegas Golden Knights 6 - 1 Los Angeles Kings
Expected: 3.0 - 3.0
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