Philadelphia Flyers at Washington Capitals NHL Predictions
2024-10-23 • Capital One Arena
Washington Capitals 6 - 3 Philadelphia Flyers
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
WSH: 53.1%
PHI: 46.9%
Expected Goals
WSH: 3.91
PHI: 3.01
Total Goals
Median: 6.7
Over 5.5: 66%
Over 6.5: 52%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
WSH
Logan Thompson - 20-16-4 | 0.913 SV% | 2.41 GAA
PHI
Dan Vladar - 17-9-6 | 0.905 SV% | 2.46 GAA
| Stat | WSH | PHI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.913 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.904 | 0.918 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.958 | 0.929 |
| GAA | 2.39 | 2.40 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • WSH at home vs PHI: 4-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-25 | WSH 3 - 1 PHI | WSH | WSH |
| 2026-02-03 | PHI 4 - 2 WSH | PHI | PHI |
| 2025-03-20 | WSH 3 - 2 PHI | WSH | WSH |
| 2025-02-06 | PHI 3 - 4 WSH | WSH | PHI |
| 2024-10-23 | WSH 6 - 3 PHI | WSH | WSH |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 04:50 | WSH | Goal |
| 2 | 02:49 | WSH | Goal |
| 2 | 04:04 | WSH | Goal |
| 2 | 07:16 | WSH | Goal |
| 2 | 12:04 | WSH | Goal |
| 2 | 16:16 | WSH | Goal |
| 3 | 06:36 | WSH | Goal |
| 3 | 17:48 | WSH | Goal |
| 3 | 18:50 | WSH | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 53.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 6.9
Score Breakdown
Washington Capitals 6 - 3 Philadelphia Flyers
Expected: 3.9 - 3.0