Philadelphia Flyers at Washington Capitals NHL Predictions

2024-10-23 • Capital One Arena

Washington Capitals 6 - 3 Philadelphia Flyers

Win Probability

WSH: 70.3%

PHI: 29.7%

Expected Goals

WSH: 3.42

PHI: 2.87

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 53%

Over 6.5: 39%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 64% • WSH at home vs PHI: 5-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-31	WSH 6 - 4 PHI	WSH	WSH
2026-03-11	PHI 4 - 1 WSH	PHI	PHI
2026-02-25	WSH 3 - 1 PHI	WSH	PHI
2026-02-03	PHI 4 - 2 WSH	PHI	PHI
2025-03-20	WSH 3 - 2 PHI	WSH	WSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WSH	12	0	0.40
1	PHI	4	0	0.05
2	WSH	10	2	0.87
2	PHI	20	1	1.72
3	WSH	19	2	2.22
3	PHI	11	0	0.95

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 70.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Washington Capitals 6 - 3 Philadelphia Flyers

Expected: 3.4 - 2.9