Dallas Stars at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions

2024-10-24 • TD Garden

Boston Bruins 2 - 5 Dallas Stars

Win Probability

BOS: 43.6%

DAL: 56.4%

Expected Goals

BOS: 2.89

DAL: 3.50

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 46%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • BOS at home vs DAL: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-31	BOS 6 - 3 DAL	BOS	DAL
2026-01-20	DAL 6 - 2 BOS	DAL	DAL
2024-11-14	DAL 7 - 2 BOS	DAL	DAL
2024-10-24	BOS 2 - 5 DAL	DAL	DAL
2024-02-19	BOS 4 - 3 DAL	BOS	DAL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BOS	18	2	1.50
1	DAL	15	0	1.30
2	BOS	10	0	0.68
2	DAL	16	0	1.02
3	BOS	18	2	1.19
3	DAL	10	1	1.31

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 56.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Boston Bruins 2 - 5 Dallas Stars

Expected: 2.9 - 3.5