New Jersey Devils at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions

2024-10-24 • Little Caesars Arena

Detroit Red Wings 5 - 3 New Jersey Devils

🚨 Upset Win (61% underdog)

Win Probability

DET: 38.6%

NJD: 61.4%

Expected Goals

DET: 2.86

NJD: 3.27

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 42%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • DET at home vs NJD: 2-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-11	DET 3 - 5 NJD	NJD	NJD
2026-03-08	NJD 0 - 3 DET	DET	NJD
2025-11-24	NJD 4 - 3 DET	NJD	NJD
2025-04-16	NJD 2 - 5 DET	DET	DET
2024-11-29	DET 4 - 5 NJD	NJD	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DET	13	0	0.76
1	NJD	21	1	1.50
2	DET	11	0	0.36
2	NJD	22	1	1.38
3	DET	9	2	1.38
3	NJD	15	1	1.15

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 61.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Detroit Red Wings 5 - 3 New Jersey Devils

Expected: 2.9 - 3.3