Florida Panthers at New York Rangers NHL Predictions

2024-10-24 • Madison Square Garden

New York Rangers 1 - 3 Florida Panthers

🚨 Upset Loss (59% underdog)

Win Probability

NYR: 59.1%

FLA: 40.9%

Expected Goals

NYR: 3.01

FLA: 3.23

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • NYR at home vs FLA: 3-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-13	FLA 3 - 2 NYR	FLA	FLA
2026-03-29	NYR 3 - 1 FLA	NYR	NYR
2026-01-02	FLA 1 - 5 NYR	NYR	FLA
2025-04-14	FLA 3 - 5 NYR	NYR	FLA
2024-12-30	FLA 5 - 3 NYR	FLA	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYR	15	2	2.03
1	FLA	13	0	1.03
2	NYR	7	1	0.49
2	FLA	17	0	1.11
3	NYR	16	0	0.53
3	FLA	14	1	1.02

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 59.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

New York Rangers 1 - 3 Florida Panthers

Expected: 3.0 - 3.2