Florida Panthers at New York Rangers NHL Predictions

2024-10-24 • Madison Square Garden

New York Rangers 1 - 3 Florida Panthers

🚨 Upset Loss (60% underdog)

Win Probability

NYR: 59.9%

FLA: 40.1%

Expected Goals

NYR: 3.35

FLA: 3.01

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 45%

NYR

Igor Shesterkin - 16-12-4 | 0.910 SV% | 2.51 GAA

FLA

Sergei Bobrovsky - 17-9-1 | 0.888 SV% | 2.80 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NYR	Igor Shesterkin	29	26	3	89.7%	3.15	1	0.15
FLA	Sergei Bobrovsky	25	24	1	96.0%	3.05	3	2.05

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • NYR at home vs FLA: 3-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-13	FLA 3 - 2 NYR	FLA	FLA
2026-03-29	NYR 3 - 1 FLA	NYR	NYR
2026-01-02	FLA 1 - 5 NYR	NYR	FLA
2025-04-14	FLA 3 - 5 NYR	NYR	FLA
2024-12-30	FLA 5 - 3 NYR	FLA	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYR	15	2	2.03
1	FLA	13	0	1.03
2	NYR	7	1	0.49
2	FLA	17	0	1.11
3	NYR	16	0	0.53
3	FLA	14	1	1.02

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 59.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

New York Rangers 1 - 3 Florida Panthers

Expected: 3.4 - 3.0