Colorado Avalanche at Utah Hockey Club NHL Predictions

2024-10-24 • Delta Center

Utah Hockey Club 1 - 5 Colorado Avalanche

Win Probability

UTA: 40.5%

COL: 59.5%

Expected Goals

UTA: 2.01

COL: 3.47

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 44%

UTA

Karel Vejmelka - 17-10-2 | 0.895 SV% | 2.68 GAA

COL

Justus Annunen - 8-4-1 | 0.928 SV% | 2.25 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
UTA	Karel Vejmelka	26	21	5	80.8%	2.00	2	-3.00
COL	Justus Annunen	26	25	1	96.2%	2.50	1	1.50

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 71% • UTA at home vs COL: 1-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-25	UTA 2 - 4 COL	COL	COL
2025-12-23	COL 1 - 0 UTA	COL	COL
2025-10-21	UTA 4 - 3 COL	UTA	COL
2025-10-09	COL 2 - 1 UTA	COL	COL
2024-12-27	UTA 1 - 4 COL	COL	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	UTA	9	0	0.51
1	COL	13	2	0.91
2	UTA	15	1	1.11
2	COL	11	0	0.92
3	UTA	15	0	0.88
3	COL	7	0	0.17

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 59.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 5.5

Score Breakdown

Utah Hockey Club 1 - 5 Colorado Avalanche

Expected: 2.0 - 3.5