Colorado Avalanche at Utah Hockey Club NHL Predictions
2024-10-24 • Delta Center
Utah Hockey Club 1 - 5 Colorado Avalanche
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
UTA: 41.8%
COL: 58.2%
Expected Goals
UTA: 2.54
COL: 2.99
Total Goals
Median: 4.1
Over 5.5: 36%
Over 6.5: 23%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
UTA
Karel Vejmelka - 38-20-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.73 GAA
COL
Scott Wedgewood - 30-6-6 | 0.920 SV% | 2.07 GAA
| Stat | UTA | COL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.895 | 0.919 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.878 | 0.951 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.895 | 0.945 |
| GAA | 2.68 | 2.13 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 57% • UTA at home vs COL: 1-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-25 | UTA 2 - 4 COL | COL | COL |
| 2025-12-23 | COL 1 - 0 UTA | COL | COL |
| 2025-10-21 | UTA 4 - 3 COL | UTA | COL |
| 2025-10-09 | COL 2 - 1 UTA | COL | UTA |
| 2024-12-27 | UTA 1 - 4 COL | COL | COL |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 09:54 | COL | Goal |
| 1 | 18:20 | COL | Goal |
| 2 | 14:25 | COL | Goal |
| 2 | 17:33 | COL | Goal |
| 3 | 15:28 | COL | Goal |
| 3 | 16:07 | COL | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 58.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 5.5
Score Breakdown
Utah Hockey Club 1 - 5 Colorado Avalanche
Expected: 2.5 - 3.0
Like this analysis? Get it daily.
Short, data-driven emails. Unsubscribe any time.