Winnipeg Jets at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions
2024-10-24 • Climate Pledge Arena
Seattle Kraken 3 - 4 Winnipeg Jets
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
SEA: 38.5%
WPG: 61.5%
Expected Goals
SEA: 3.14
WPG: 3.80
Total Goals
Median: 6.1
Over 5.5: 55%
Over 6.5: 41%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
SEA
Joey Daccord - 10-9-5 | 0.903 SV% | 2.77 GAA
WPG
Connor Hellebuyck - 9-10-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.51 GAA
| Stat | SEA | WPG |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.903 | 0.907 |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 2.77 | 2.51 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA | Joey Daccord | 36 | 32 | 4 | 88.9% | 2.44 | 2 | -1.56 |
| WPG | Connor Hellebuyck | 32 | 29 | 3 | 90.6% | 2.29 | 1 | -0.71 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 78% • SEA at home vs WPG: 1-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-06 | WPG 6 - 2 SEA | WPG | WPG |
| 2025-11-13 | SEA 5 - 3 WPG | SEA | SEA |
| 2025-10-23 | WPG 0 - 3 SEA | SEA | WPG |
| 2025-03-16 | SEA 2 - 3 WPG | WPG | WPG |
| 2025-01-16 | WPG 2 - 1 SEA | WPG | WPG |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SEA | 17 | 1 | 0.95 |
| 1 | WPG | 7 | 0 | 0.08 |
| 2 | SEA | 16 | 0 | 0.77 |
| 2 | WPG | 16 | 1 | 1.42 |
| 3 | SEA | 12 | 0 | 0.53 |
| 3 | WPG | 14 | 1 | 0.80 |
| 4 | SEA | 1 | 0 | 0.03 |
| 4 | WPG | 1 | 0 | 0.14 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 61.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.9
Score Breakdown
Seattle Kraken 3 - 4 Winnipeg Jets
Expected: 3.1 - 3.8
Like this analysis? Get it daily.
Short, data-driven emails. Unsubscribe any time.