Winnipeg Jets at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions

2024-10-24 • Climate Pledge Arena

Seattle Kraken 3 - 4 Winnipeg Jets

🚨 Upset Loss (50% underdog)

Win Probability

SEA: 50.5%

WPG: 49.5%

Expected Goals

SEA: 2.81

WPG: 3.30

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 40%

SEA

Joey Daccord - 10-9-5 | 0.903 SV% | 2.77 GAA

WPG

Connor Hellebuyck - 9-10-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.51 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SEA	Joey Daccord	36	32	4	88.9%	2.44	2	-1.56
WPG	Connor Hellebuyck	32	29	3	90.6%	2.29	1	-0.71

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 53% • SEA at home vs WPG: 2-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-06	WPG 6 - 2 SEA	WPG	WPG
2025-11-13	SEA 5 - 3 WPG	SEA	SEA
2025-10-23	WPG 0 - 3 SEA	SEA	WPG
2025-03-16	SEA 2 - 3 WPG	WPG	WPG
2025-01-16	WPG 2 - 1 SEA	WPG	WPG

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SEA	17	1	0.95
1	WPG	7	0	0.08
2	SEA	16	0	0.77
2	WPG	16	1	1.42
3	SEA	12	0	0.53
3	WPG	14	1	0.80
4	SEA	1	0	0.03
4	WPG	1	0	0.14

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 50.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Seattle Kraken 3 - 4 Winnipeg Jets

Expected: 2.8 - 3.3