New York Islanders at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2024-10-25 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 3 - 4 New York Islanders

Win Probability

NJD: 42.7%

NYI: 57.3%

Expected Goals

NJD: 3.05

NYI: 3.24

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 52%

Over 6.5: 40%

NJD

Jake Allen - 11-8-1 | 0.912 SV% | 2.52 GAA

NYI

Ilya Sorokin - 12-10-2 | 0.910 SV% | 2.55 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NJD	Jake Allen	30	26	4	86.7%	2.44	1	-1.56
NYI	Ilya Sorokin	36	33	3	91.7%	3.90	4	0.90

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 45% • NJD at home vs NYI: 1-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-05	NJD 1 - 3 NYI	NYI	NJD
2026-01-06	NYI 9 - 0 NJD	NYI	NYI
2025-12-23	NYI 2 - 1 NJD	NYI	NYI
2025-11-10	NJD 2 - 3 NYI	NYI	NJD
2025-04-13	NJD 0 - 1 NYI	NYI	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NJD	14	1	0.81
1	NYI	16	1	0.94
2	NJD	19	0	1.49
2	NYI	16	0	1.04
3	NJD	16	2	1.20
3	NYI	9	0	0.30
4	NJD	3	1	0.39
4	NYI	1	0	0.17

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 57.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

New Jersey Devils 3 - 4 New York Islanders

Expected: 3.0 - 3.2