Detroit Red Wings at Buffalo Sabres NHL Predictions

2024-10-26 • KeyBank Center

Buffalo Sabres 5 - 3 Detroit Red Wings

Win Probability

BUF: 71.2%

DET: 28.8%

Expected Goals

BUF: 3.72

DET: 2.51

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 54%

Over 6.5: 41%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 45% • BUF at home vs DET: 3-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-27	BUF 2 - 5 DET	DET	BUF
2025-11-15	DET 4 - 5 BUF	BUF	BUF
2025-10-22	BUF 4 - 2 DET	BUF	BUF
2025-03-12	DET 7 - 3 BUF	DET	BUF
2024-12-09	BUF 5 - 6 DET	DET	BUF

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BUF	20	0	1.27
1	DET	11	0	0.62
2	BUF	19	0	0.79
2	DET	19	0	1.11
3	BUF	12	1	1.13
3	DET	8	0	0.34

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 71.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Buffalo Sabres 5 - 3 Detroit Red Wings

Expected: 3.7 - 2.5