Utah Hockey Club at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions
2024-10-26 • Crypto.com Arena
Los Angeles Kings 3 - 2 Utah Hockey Club
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
LAK: 61.8%
UTA: 38.2%
Expected Goals
LAK: 3.52
UTA: 2.86
Total Goals
Median: 5.8
Over 5.5: 59%
Over 6.5: 45%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
LAK
Darcy Kuemper - 10-7-6 | 0.913 SV% | 2.27 GAA
UTA
Connor Ingram - 9-8-4 | 0.882 SV% | 3.27 GAA
| Stat | LAK | UTA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.913 | 0.882 |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 2.27 | 3.27 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | Darcy Kuemper | 26 | 24 | 2 | 92.3% | 1.82 | 0 | -0.18 |
| UTA | Connor Ingram | 23 | 20 | 3 | 87.0% | 2.03 | 0 | -0.97 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • LAK at home vs UTA: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-28 | LAK 2 - 6 UTA | UTA | LAK |
| 2026-03-22 | UTA 4 - 3 LAK | UTA | UTA |
| 2025-12-08 | UTA 2 - 4 LAK | LAK | UTA |
| 2025-04-03 | UTA 2 - 4 LAK | LAK | UTA |
| 2025-02-22 | LAK 5 - 3 UTA | LAK | LAK |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LAK | 10 | 0 | 0.71 |
| 1 | UTA | 11 | 0 | 0.52 |
| 2 | LAK | 13 | 0 | 0.74 |
| 2 | UTA | 15 | 0 | 0.78 |
| 3 | LAK | 10 | 0 | 0.58 |
| 3 | UTA | 14 | 0 | 0.53 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 61.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.4
Score Breakdown
Los Angeles Kings 3 - 2 Utah Hockey Club
Expected: 3.5 - 2.9
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