St. Louis Blues at Montreal Canadiens NHL Predictions

2024-10-26 • Centre Bell

Montreal Canadiens 5 - 2 St. Louis Blues

🚨 Upset Win (54% underdog)

Win Probability

MTL: 45.9%

STL: 54.1%

Expected Goals

MTL: 2.96

STL: 3.43

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 17% • MTL at home vs STL: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-03	STL 2 - 0 MTL	STL	MTL
2025-12-07	MTL 3 - 4 STL	STL	MTL
2025-03-25	STL 6 - 1 MTL	STL	STL
2024-10-26	MTL 5 - 2 STL	MTL	STL
2024-02-11	MTL 2 - 7 STL	STL	MTL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MTL	12	0	0.78
1	STL	8	0	0.45
2	MTL	19	2	1.44
2	STL	19	4	2.01
3	MTL	8	1	0.93
3	STL	19	2	1.36

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 54.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Montreal Canadiens 5 - 2 St. Louis Blues

Expected: 3.0 - 3.4