Winnipeg Jets at Calgary Flames NHL Predictions

2024-10-26 • Scotiabank Saddledome

Calgary Flames 3 - 5 Winnipeg Jets

Win Probability

CGY: 49.1%

WPG: 50.9%

Expected Goals

CGY: 3.04

WPG: 3.25

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 42%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • CGY at home vs WPG: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-11-15	CGY 3 - 4 WPG	WPG	CGY
2025-10-24	WPG 5 - 3 CGY	WPG	WPG
2025-10-20	CGY 1 - 2 WPG	WPG	CGY
2025-01-26	WPG 5 - 2 CGY	WPG	WPG
2025-01-18	WPG 1 - 3 CGY	CGY	WPG

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CGY	9	0	0.54
1	WPG	20	0	1.00
2	CGY	23	0	1.13
2	WPG	6	0	0.30
3	CGY	20	0	1.00
3	WPG	19	2	1.96

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 50.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Calgary Flames 3 - 5 Winnipeg Jets

Expected: 3.0 - 3.3