Winnipeg Jets at Calgary Flames NHL Predictions
2024-10-26 • Scotiabank Saddledome
Calgary Flames 3 - 5 Winnipeg Jets
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CGY: 46.2%
WPG: 53.8%
Expected Goals
CGY: 3.33
WPG: 3.25
Total Goals
Median: 7.1
Over 5.5: 78%
Over 6.5: 63%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CGY
Dustin Wolf - 23-29-3 | 0.899 SV% | 3.01 GAA
WPG
Connor Hellebuyck - 23-23-11 | 0.895 SV% | 2.86 GAA
| Stat | CGY | WPG |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.901 | 0.907 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.904 | 0.867 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.889 | 0.940 |
| GAA | 2.82 | 2.51 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 89% • CGY at home vs WPG: 2-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-15 | CGY 3 - 4 WPG | WPG | WPG |
| 2025-10-24 | WPG 5 - 3 CGY | WPG | WPG |
| 2025-10-20 | CGY 1 - 2 WPG | WPG | CGY |
| 2025-01-26 | WPG 5 - 2 CGY | WPG | WPG |
| 2025-01-18 | WPG 1 - 3 CGY | CGY | CGY |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 00:28 | CGY | Goal |
| 1 | 01:51 | CGY | Goal |
| 1 | 17:37 | WPG | Goal |
| 2 | 17:28 | CGY | Goal |
| 3 | 01:01 | WPG | Goal |
| 3 | 04:19 | CGY | Goal |
| 3 | 16:16 | WPG | Goal |
| 3 | 18:46 | WPG | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 53.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 8.0
Expected: 6.6
Score Breakdown
Calgary Flames 3 - 5 Winnipeg Jets
Expected: 3.3 - 3.2
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