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2025-26 Season Live

Florida Panthers at New York Islanders NHL Predictions

2024-10-26 • UBS Arena
New York Islanders 3 - 6 Florida Panthers
🚨 Upset Loss (52% underdog)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability
NYI: 51.9%
FLA: 48.1%
Expected Goals
NYI: 2.62
FLA: 2.96
Total Goals
Median: 5.3
Over 5.5: 47%
Over 6.5: 33%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

NYI
Ilya Sorokin - 29-24-2 | 0.906 SV% | 2.68 GAA
FLA
Sergei Bobrovsky - 27-23-1 | 0.877 SV% | 3.07 GAA
StatNYIFLA
Season SV%0.9100.888
Last 5 SV%0.8510.860
SV% vs Opponent0.9050.808
GAA2.552.80
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • NYI at home vs FLA: 3-2
DateScoreWinnerModel Pick
2026-03-28NYI 5 - 2 FLANYINYI
2026-03-01NYI 5 - 4 FLANYIFLA
2025-12-07FLA 4 - 1 NYIFLAFLA
2025-03-16NYI 4 - 2 FLANYIFLA
2025-02-02FLA 6 - 3 NYIFLAFLA

⚡ In-Game Win Probability

0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 0:00 20:00 40:00 60:00 In-Game Win Probability Home Win Probability Game Time (minutes)

Goals

PeriodTimeTeamScorer
101:32NYIGoal
106:01NYIGoal
111:41NYIGoal
113:27NYIGoal
206:38NYIGoal
218:16NYIGoal
306:19FLAGoal
309:49FLAGoal
317:43FLAGoal

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 51.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 5.6
Score Breakdown
New York Islanders 3 - 6 Florida Panthers
Expected: 2.6 - 3.0