Florida Panthers at New York Islanders NHL Predictions

2024-10-26 • UBS Arena

New York Islanders 3 - 6 Florida Panthers

Win Probability

NYI: 45.7%

FLA: 54.3%

Expected Goals

NYI: 3.14

FLA: 3.11

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 43%

NYI

Semyon Varlamov - 0-0-0 | 0.000 SV% | 0.00 GAA

FLA

Spencer Knight - 0-0-0 | 0.000 SV% | 0.00 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NYI	Semyon Varlamov	29	23	6	79.3%	4.66	6	-1.34
FLA	Spencer Knight	28	25	3	89.3%	3.36	3	0.36

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • NYI at home vs FLA: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-28	NYI 5 - 2 FLA	NYI	NYI
2026-03-01	NYI 5 - 4 FLA	NYI	FLA
2025-12-07	FLA 4 - 1 NYI	FLA	FLA
2025-03-16	NYI 4 - 2 FLA	NYI	NYI
2025-02-02	FLA 6 - 3 NYI	FLA	NYI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYI	12	2	1.22
1	FLA	13	2	1.14
2	NYI	15	0	0.79
2	FLA	18	1	1.11
3	NYI	21	1	1.35
3	FLA	16	3	2.41

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 54.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

New York Islanders 3 - 6 Florida Panthers

Expected: 3.1 - 3.1