Columbus Blue Jackets at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions
2024-10-26 • Bridgestone Arena
Nashville Predators 4 - 3 Columbus Blue Jackets
🚨 Upset Win (54% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NSH: 45.8%
CBJ: 54.2%
Expected Goals
NSH: 3.42
CBJ: 3.06
Total Goals
Median: 5.5
Over 5.5: 49%
Over 6.5: 35%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NSH
S. Wedgewood
CBJ
Daniil Tarasov - 8-11-3 | 0.908 SV% | 3.18 GAA
| Stat | NSH | CBJ |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | — | 0.908 |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | — | 3.18 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NSH | S. Wedgewood | 28 | 25 | 3 | 89.3% | 2.44 | 0 | -0.56 |
| CBJ | Daniil Tarasov | 33 | 29 | 4 | 87.9% | 2.63 | 0 | -1.37 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • NSH at home vs CBJ: 3-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-03 | CBJ 3 - 2 NSH | CBJ | CBJ |
| 2025-10-09 | NSH 2 - 1 CBJ | NSH | CBJ |
| 2025-04-01 | CBJ 8 - 4 NSH | CBJ | CBJ |
| 2024-10-26 | NSH 4 - 3 CBJ | NSH | CBJ |
| 2024-04-13 | NSH 6 - 4 CBJ | NSH | NSH |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NSH | 12 | 0 | 0.78 |
| 1 | CBJ | 12 | 0 | 0.70 |
| 2 | NSH | 22 | 0 | 1.04 |
| 2 | CBJ | 12 | 0 | 1.06 |
| 3 | NSH | 15 | 0 | 0.58 |
| 3 | CBJ | 14 | 0 | 0.54 |
| 4 | NSH | 2 | 0 | 0.22 |
| 4 | CBJ | 1 | 0 | 0.14 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 54.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.5
Score Breakdown
Nashville Predators 4 - 3 Columbus Blue Jackets
Expected: 3.4 - 3.1
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