Chicago Blackhawks at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions

2024-10-26 • American Airlines Center

Dallas Stars 4 - 2 Chicago Blackhawks

Win Probability

DAL: 76.7%

CHI: 23.3%

Expected Goals

DAL: 4.71

CHI: 2.57

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 46%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 82% • DAL at home vs CHI: 5-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-08	DAL 4 - 3 CHI	DAL	DAL
2026-01-01	CHI 4 - 3 DAL	CHI	CHI
2025-12-27	DAL 3 - 4 CHI	CHI	CHI
2024-12-29	CHI 1 - 5 DAL	DAL	DAL
2024-11-27	CHI 6 - 2 DAL	CHI	DAL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DAL	22	3	2.16
1	CHI	12	1	1.17
2	DAL	12	1	0.87
2	CHI	14	1	1.49
3	DAL	11	3	2.27
3	CHI	17	1	0.94

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 76.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 7.3

Score Breakdown

Dallas Stars 4 - 2 Chicago Blackhawks

Expected: 4.7 - 2.6