Pittsburgh Penguins at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions

2024-10-26 • Rogers Arena

Vancouver Canucks 4 - 3 Pittsburgh Penguins

Win Probability

VAN: 60.0%

PIT: 40.0%

Expected Goals

VAN: 3.48

PIT: 3.09

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 45%

VAN

Kevin Lankinen - 6-10-3 | 0.885 SV% | 3.41 GAA

PIT

Alex Nedeljkovic - 14-15-5 | 0.894 SV% | 3.12 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
VAN	Kevin Lankinen	24	21	3	87.5%	1.66	0	-1.34
PIT	Alex Nedeljkovic	34	30	4	88.2%	4.01	4	0.01

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • VAN at home vs PIT: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-25	VAN 2 - 3 PIT	PIT	PIT
2025-10-21	PIT 5 - 1 VAN	PIT	PIT
2024-11-27	PIT 5 - 4 VAN	PIT	PIT
2024-10-26	VAN 4 - 3 PIT	VAN	VAN
2024-02-27	VAN 3 - 4 PIT	PIT	VAN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VAN	19	1	1.50
1	PIT	10	0	0.59
2	VAN	20	2	1.78
2	PIT	10	0	0.44
3	VAN	9	1	0.72
3	PIT	17	0	0.62

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 60.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Vancouver Canucks 4 - 3 Pittsburgh Penguins

Expected: 3.5 - 3.1