Pittsburgh Penguins at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions

2024-10-26 • Rogers Arena

Vancouver Canucks 4 - 3 Pittsburgh Penguins

Win Probability

VAN: 62.5%

PIT: 37.5%

Expected Goals

VAN: 3.19

PIT: 3.35

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 47%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • VAN at home vs PIT: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-25	VAN 2 - 3 PIT	PIT	PIT
2025-10-21	PIT 5 - 1 VAN	PIT	PIT
2024-11-27	PIT 5 - 4 VAN	PIT	PIT
2024-10-26	VAN 4 - 3 PIT	VAN	VAN
2024-02-27	VAN 3 - 4 PIT	PIT	VAN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VAN	19	1	1.50
1	PIT	10	0	0.59
2	VAN	20	2	1.78
2	PIT	10	0	0.44
3	VAN	9	1	0.72
3	PIT	17	0	0.62

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 62.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Vancouver Canucks 4 - 3 Pittsburgh Penguins

Expected: 3.2 - 3.3