San Jose Sharks at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions

2024-10-26 • T-Mobile Arena

Vegas Golden Knights 7 - 3 San Jose Sharks

Win Probability

VGK: 60.6%

SJS: 39.4%

Expected Goals

VGK: 3.83

SJS: 2.57

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 46%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 91% • VGK at home vs SJS: 5-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-11	SJS 2 - 7 VGK	VGK	SJS
2025-12-23	VGK 7 - 2 SJS	VGK	VGK
2025-11-29	VGK 4 - 3 SJS	VGK	VGK
2025-10-09	SJS 3 - 4 VGK	VGK	VGK
2025-01-07	SJS 2 - 4 VGK	VGK	VGK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VGK	26	0	1.42
1	SJS	7	0	0.29
2	VGK	20	0	1.68
2	SJS	18	1	1.35
3	VGK	10	0	0.50
3	SJS	15	0	0.78

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 60.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 10.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Vegas Golden Knights 7 - 3 San Jose Sharks

Expected: 3.8 - 2.6