Ottawa Senators at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions
2024-10-27 • Ball Arena
Colorado Avalanche 5 - 4 Ottawa Senators
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
COL: 53.8%
OTT: 46.2%
Expected Goals
COL: 3.65
OTT: 2.92
Total Goals
Median: 6.2
Over 5.5: 62%
Over 6.5: 46%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
COL
Scott Wedgewood - 21-4-5 | 0.913 SV% | 2.29 GAA
OTT
Linus Ullmark - 16-8-5 | 0.884 SV% | 2.86 GAA
| Stat | COL | OTT |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.919 | 0.881 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.891 | 0.882 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.935 | — |
| GAA | 2.13 | 2.95 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • COL at home vs OTT: 3-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-28 | OTT 5 - 2 COL | OTT | OTT |
| 2026-01-08 | COL 8 - 2 OTT | COL | COL |
| 2025-03-20 | OTT 1 - 5 COL | COL | OTT |
| 2024-10-27 | COL 5 - 4 OTT | COL | COL |
| 2024-01-16 | OTT 4 - 7 COL | COL | OTT |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19:52 | COL | Goal |
| 2 | 19:42 | COL | Goal |
| 3 | 09:15 | COL | Goal |
| 3 | 11:23 | COL | Goal |
| 3 | 13:29 | COL | Goal |
| 3 | 15:01 | COL | Goal |
| 3 | 16:48 | COL | Goal |
| 3 | 18:45 | COL | Goal |
| 3 | 19:50 | COL | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 53.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 6.6
Score Breakdown
Colorado Avalanche 5 - 4 Ottawa Senators
Expected: 3.6 - 2.9