Florida Panthers at Buffalo Sabres NHL Predictions

2024-10-28 • KeyBank Center

Buffalo Sabres 2 - 5 Florida Panthers

Win Probability

BUF: 49.8%

FLA: 50.2%

Expected Goals

BUF: 3.27

FLA: 2.64

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 54%

Over 6.5: 43%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • BUF at home vs FLA: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-27	FLA 2 - 3 BUF	BUF	BUF
2026-02-02	FLA 3 - 5 BUF	BUF	BUF
2026-01-12	BUF 3 - 4 FLA	FLA	FLA
2025-10-18	BUF 3 - 0 FLA	BUF	FLA
2025-04-12	FLA 3 - 2 BUF	FLA	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BUF	12	0	0.20
1	FLA	9	1	0.57
2	BUF	18	0	0.96
2	FLA	14	1	1.16
3	BUF	12	0	0.56
3	FLA	16	0	1.09

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 50.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Buffalo Sabres 2 - 5 Florida Panthers

Expected: 3.3 - 2.6