Nashville Predators at Tampa Bay Lightning NHL Predictions

2024-10-28 • Amalie Arena

Tampa Bay Lightning 3 - 2 Nashville Predators

Win Probability

TBL: 57.1%

NSH: 42.9%

Expected Goals

TBL: 3.42

NSH: 3.23

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 100% • TBL at home vs NSH: 3-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-29	TBL 3 - 2 NSH	TBL	TBL
2025-10-28	NSH 2 - 5 TBL	TBL	TBL
2024-11-29	NSH 2 - 3 TBL	TBL	TBL
2024-10-28	TBL 3 - 2 NSH	TBL	TBL
2023-12-07	NSH 5 - 1 TBL	NSH	NSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	TBL	17	1	1.92
1	NSH	11	0	0.58
2	TBL	9	0	0.37
2	NSH	19	1	1.53
3	TBL	15	2	1.47
3	NSH	15	0	0.71
4	TBL	2	0	0.36
4	NSH	1	0	0.08

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 57.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.7

Score Breakdown

Tampa Bay Lightning 3 - 2 Nashville Predators

Expected: 3.4 - 3.2