Nashville Predators at Tampa Bay Lightning NHL Predictions
2024-10-28 • Amalie Arena
Tampa Bay Lightning 3 - 2 Nashville Predators
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
TBL: 56.3%
NSH: 43.7%
Expected Goals
TBL: 3.17
NSH: 2.46
Total Goals
Median: 4.5
Over 5.5: 32%
Over 6.5: 22%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
TBL
Andrei Vasilevskiy - 39-15-4 | 0.911 SV% | 2.31 GAA
NSH
Juuse Saros - 28-21-8 | 0.894 SV% | 3.13 GAA
| Stat | TBL | NSH |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.913 | 0.897 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.919 | 0.884 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.900 | 0.871 |
| GAA | 2.33 | 2.93 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • TBL at home vs NSH: 3-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-29 | TBL 3 - 2 NSH | TBL | TBL |
| 2025-10-28 | NSH 2 - 5 TBL | TBL | NSH |
| 2024-11-29 | NSH 2 - 3 TBL | TBL | TBL |
| 2024-10-28 | TBL 3 - 2 NSH | TBL | TBL |
| 2023-12-07 | NSH 5 - 1 TBL | NSH | NSH |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 09:49 | TBL | Goal |
| 1 | 19:24 | TBL | Goal |
| 2 | 10:19 | TBL | Goal |
| 2 | 18:40 | TBL | Goal |
| 4 | 03:22 | TBL | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 56.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 5.6
Score Breakdown
Tampa Bay Lightning 3 - 2 Nashville Predators
Expected: 3.2 - 2.5
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