Edmonton Oilers at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions

2024-10-28 • Nationwide Arena

Columbus Blue Jackets 6 - 1 Edmonton Oilers

🚨 Upset Win (57% underdog)

Win Probability

CBJ: 43.2%

EDM: 56.8%

Expected Goals

CBJ: 3.38

EDM: 3.26

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 47%

CBJ

Elvis Merzlikins - 6-6-1 | 0.877 SV% | 4.04 GAA

EDM

Stuart Skinner - 26-18-4 | 0.896 SV% | 2.81 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CBJ	Elvis Merzlikins	32	31	1	96.9%	2.85	1	1.85
EDM	Stuart Skinner	25	19	6	76.0%	2.35	1	-3.65

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • CBJ at home vs EDM: 5-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-11-13	CBJ 5 - 4 EDM	CBJ	CBJ
2025-11-10	EDM 5 - 4 CBJ	EDM	EDM
2024-12-05	EDM 6 - 3 CBJ	EDM	EDM
2024-10-28	CBJ 6 - 1 EDM	CBJ	EDM
2024-03-07	CBJ 4 - 2 EDM	CBJ	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CBJ	10	0	0.76
1	EDM	16	0	0.93
2	CBJ	13	1	0.81
2	EDM	17	1	1.10
3	CBJ	15	0	0.78
3	EDM	16	0	0.82

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 56.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Columbus Blue Jackets 6 - 1 Edmonton Oilers

Expected: 3.4 - 3.3