Chicago Blackhawks at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions
2024-10-28 • Ball Arena
Colorado Avalanche 2 - 5 Chicago Blackhawks
🚨 Upset Loss (53% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
COL: 52.9%
CHI: 47.1%
Expected Goals
COL: 3.18
CHI: 3.00
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 56%
Over 6.5: 40%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
COL
Scott Wedgewood - 21-4-5 | 0.913 SV% | 2.29 GAA
CHI
Spencer Knight - 16-16-7 | 0.908 SV% | 2.62 GAA
| Stat | COL | CHI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.919 | 0.909 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.891 | 0.864 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 1.000 | 0.962 |
| GAA | 2.13 | 2.63 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • COL at home vs CHI: 3-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-23 | CHI 0 - 1 COL | COL | COL |
| 2025-04-02 | CHI 2 - 3 COL | COL | CHI |
| 2025-03-10 | COL 3 - 0 CHI | COL | COL |
| 2025-01-08 | CHI 3 - 1 COL | CHI | CHI |
| 2024-10-28 | COL 2 - 5 CHI | CHI | COL |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08:47 | CHI | Goal |
| 1 | 10:16 | COL | Goal |
| 1 | 11:04 | CHI | Goal |
| 1 | 16:56 | CHI | Goal |
| 1 | 19:17 | CHI | Goal |
| 3 | 19:02 | CHI | Goal |
| 3 | 19:41 | CHI | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 52.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Colorado Avalanche 2 - 5 Chicago Blackhawks
Expected: 3.2 - 3.0