Chicago Blackhawks at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions
2024-10-28 • Ball Arena
Colorado Avalanche 2 - 5 Chicago Blackhawks
🚨 Upset Loss (56% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
COL: 55.9%
CHI: 44.1%
Expected Goals
COL: 3.03
CHI: 2.79
Total Goals
Median: 5.2
Over 5.5: 48%
Over 6.5: 36%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
COL
Scott Wedgewood - 30-6-6 | 0.920 SV% | 2.07 GAA
CHI
Spencer Knight - 19-25-11 | 0.902 SV% | 2.82 GAA
| Stat | COL | CHI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.919 | 0.909 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.951 | 0.851 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 1.000 | 0.950 |
| GAA | 2.13 | 2.63 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • COL at home vs CHI: 4-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-20 | CHI 1 - 4 COL | COL | COL |
| 2026-02-28 | COL 3 - 1 CHI | COL | COL |
| 2025-11-23 | CHI 0 - 1 COL | COL | COL |
| 2025-04-02 | CHI 2 - 3 COL | COL | COL |
| 2025-03-10 | COL 3 - 0 CHI | COL | COL |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08:47 | CHI | Goal |
| 1 | 10:16 | COL | Goal |
| 1 | 11:04 | CHI | Goal |
| 1 | 16:56 | CHI | Goal |
| 1 | 19:17 | CHI | Goal |
| 3 | 19:02 | CHI | Goal |
| 3 | 19:41 | CHI | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 55.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 5.8
Score Breakdown
Colorado Avalanche 2 - 5 Chicago Blackhawks
Expected: 3.0 - 2.8
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