Carolina Hurricanes at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions
2024-10-28 • Rogers Arena
Vancouver Canucks 3 - 4 Carolina Hurricanes
🚨 Upset Loss (51% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
VAN: 51.0%
CAR: 49.0%
Expected Goals
VAN: 3.07
CAR: 3.31
Total Goals
Median: 6.2
Over 5.5: 60%
Over 6.5: 46%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
VAN
Kevin Lankinen - 7-19-4 | 0.876 SV% | 3.67 GAA
CAR
Brandon Bussi - 23-3-1 | 0.906 SV% | 2.16 GAA
| Stat | VAN | CAR |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.885 | 0.901 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.793 | 0.915 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.895 | — |
| GAA | 3.41 | 2.33 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • VAN at home vs CAR: 1-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 | CAR 4 - 3 VAN | CAR | CAR |
| 2025-01-10 | CAR 2 - 0 VAN | CAR | CAR |
| 2024-10-28 | VAN 3 - 4 CAR | CAR | VAN |
| 2024-02-06 | CAR 2 - 3 VAN | VAN | CAR |
| 2023-12-09 | VAN 4 - 3 CAR | VAN | VAN |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15:33 | CAR | Goal |
| 1 | 07:17 | VAN | Goal |
| 1 | 05:40 | CAR | Goal |
| 2 | 01:53 | CAR | Goal |
| 3 | 16:55 | VAN | Goal |
| 3 | 07:56 | CAR | Goal |
| 4 | 00:47 | CAR | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 51.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.4
Score Breakdown
Vancouver Canucks 3 - 4 Carolina Hurricanes
Expected: 3.1 - 3.3