Seattle Kraken at Montreal Canadiens NHL Predictions

2024-10-29 • Centre Bell

Montreal Canadiens 2 - 8 Seattle Kraken

Win Probability

MTL: 42.1%

SEA: 57.9%

Expected Goals

MTL: 2.85

SEA: 3.25

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 54%

Over 6.5: 40%

MTL

Samuel Montembeault - 6-6-1 | 0.863 SV% | 3.52 GAA

SEA

Joey Daccord - 10-9-5 | 0.903 SV% | 2.77 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
MTL	Samuel Montembeault	23	15	8	65.2%	2.91	3	-5.09
SEA	Joey Daccord	30	28	2	93.3%	3.40	2	1.40

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • MTL at home vs SEA: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-10-28	SEA 3 - 4 MTL	MTL	MTL
2025-10-14	MTL 5 - 4 SEA	MTL	MTL
2025-03-12	SEA 5 - 4 MTL	SEA	SEA
2024-10-29	MTL 2 - 8 SEA	SEA	SEA
2024-03-24	SEA 1 - 5 MTL	MTL	MTL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MTL	23	2	1.60
1	SEA	11	1	1.05
2	MTL	17	0	0.84
2	SEA	11	1	1.06
3	MTL	12	0	0.96
3	SEA	9	1	0.80

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 57.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 10.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Montreal Canadiens 2 - 8 Seattle Kraken

Expected: 2.9 - 3.2