Seattle Kraken at Montreal Canadiens NHL Predictions
2024-10-29 • Centre Bell
Montreal Canadiens 2 - 8 Seattle Kraken
🚨 Upset Loss (54% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
MTL: 54.1%
SEA: 45.9%
Expected Goals
MTL: 3.33
SEA: 3.60
Total Goals
Median: 6.9
Over 5.5: 67%
Over 6.5: 54%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
MTL
Jakub Dobes - 18-5-4 | 0.892 SV% | 2.96 GAA
SEA
Joey Daccord - 16-13-5 | 0.902 SV% | 2.84 GAA
| Stat | MTL | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.889 | 0.903 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.903 | 0.919 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.857 | 0.791 |
| GAA | 3.01 | 2.77 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • MTL at home vs SEA: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-28 | SEA 3 - 4 MTL | MTL | SEA |
| 2025-10-14 | MTL 5 - 4 SEA | MTL | MTL |
| 2025-03-12 | SEA 5 - 4 MTL | SEA | SEA |
| 2024-10-29 | MTL 2 - 8 SEA | SEA | MTL |
| 2024-03-24 | SEA 1 - 5 MTL | MTL | SEA |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 00:25 | SEA | Goal |
| 1 | 03:49 | SEA | Goal |
| 1 | 07:27 | SEA | Goal |
| 1 | 10:33 | SEA | Goal |
| 1 | 16:11 | SEA | Goal |
| 2 | 01:32 | SEA | Goal |
| 2 | 08:44 | SEA | Goal |
| 3 | 14:12 | SEA | Goal |
| 3 | 15:14 | SEA | Goal |
| 3 | 15:28 | SEA | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 54.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 10.0
Expected: 6.9
Score Breakdown
Montreal Canadiens 2 - 8 Seattle Kraken
Expected: 3.3 - 3.6