St. Louis Blues at Ottawa Senators NHL Predictions
2024-10-29 • Canadian Tire Centre
Ottawa Senators 8 - 1 St. Louis Blues
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
OTT: 56.9%
STL: 43.1%
Expected Goals
OTT: 3.42
STL: 2.87
Total Goals
Median: 6.8
Over 5.5: 76%
Over 6.5: 61%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
OTT
Linus Ullmark - 28-12-8 | 0.891 SV% | 2.73 GAA
STL
Joel Hofer - 23-13-5 | 0.910 SV% | 2.60 GAA
| Stat | OTT | STL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.881 | 0.901 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.921 | 0.917 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.900 | 0.976 |
| GAA | 2.95 | 2.87 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • OTT at home vs STL: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-06 | OTT 1 - 2 STL | STL | OTT |
| 2025-11-28 | STL 4 - 3 OTT | STL | STL |
| 2025-01-03 | STL 4 - 0 OTT | STL | STL |
| 2024-10-29 | OTT 8 - 1 STL | OTT | OTT |
| 2024-03-21 | OTT 2 - 5 STL | STL | OTT |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 01:04 | OTT | Goal |
| 1 | 04:44 | OTT | Goal |
| 1 | 15:04 | OTT | Goal |
| 2 | 08:55 | OTT | Goal |
| 2 | 11:08 | OTT | Goal |
| 2 | 11:50 | OTT | Goal |
| 3 | 07:31 | OTT | Goal |
| 3 | 09:04 | OTT | Goal |
| 3 | 15:27 | OTT | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 56.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
Ottawa Senators 8 - 1 St. Louis Blues
Expected: 3.4 - 2.9
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