St. Louis Blues at Ottawa Senators NHL Predictions

2024-10-29 • Canadian Tire Centre

Ottawa Senators 8 - 1 St. Louis Blues

Win Probability

OTT: 55.1%

STL: 44.9%

Expected Goals

OTT: 3.61

STL: 3.02

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 66%

Over 6.5: 49%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • OTT at home vs STL: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-06	OTT 1 - 2 STL	STL	OTT
2025-11-28	STL 4 - 3 OTT	STL	STL
2025-01-03	STL 4 - 0 OTT	STL	STL
2024-10-29	OTT 8 - 1 STL	OTT	OTT
2024-03-21	OTT 2 - 5 STL	STL	OTT

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	OTT	20	0	1.15
1	STL	10	0	0.42
2	OTT	15	0	0.91
2	STL	11	0	0.41
3	OTT	12	0	0.56
3	STL	17	1	1.27

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 55.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Ottawa Senators 8 - 1 St. Louis Blues

Expected: 3.6 - 3.0