New York Rangers at Washington Capitals NHL Predictions

2024-10-29 • Capital One Arena

Washington Capitals 5 - 3 New York Rangers

Win Probability

WSH: 55.8%

NYR: 44.2%

Expected Goals

WSH: 3.54

NYR: 3.12

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 52%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • WSH at home vs NYR: 5-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-05	NYR 8 - 1 WSH	NYR	NYR
2025-12-31	WSH 6 - 3 NYR	WSH	WSH
2025-12-23	WSH 3 - 7 NYR	NYR	WSH
2025-10-12	NYR 0 - 1 WSH	WSH	WSH
2025-03-05	NYR 2 - 3 WSH	WSH	NYR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WSH	30	3	2.25
1	NYR	12	0	0.72
2	WSH	22	3	2.23
2	NYR	17	0	1.16
3	WSH	18	3	2.42
3	NYR	10	0	0.59

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 55.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.7

Score Breakdown

Washington Capitals 5 - 3 New York Rangers

Expected: 3.5 - 3.1