Anaheim Ducks at New York Islanders NHL Predictions

2024-10-29 • UBS Arena

New York Islanders 1 - 3 Anaheim Ducks

🚨 Upset Loss (65% underdog)

Win Probability

NYI: 65.5%

ANA: 34.5%

Expected Goals

NYI: 3.40

ANA: 2.64

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 69%

Over 6.5: 55%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • NYI at home vs ANA: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-04	ANA 5 - 1 NYI	ANA	ANA
2025-12-11	NYI 5 - 2 ANA	NYI	NYI
2025-03-09	ANA 4 - 1 NYI	ANA	ANA
2024-10-29	NYI 1 - 3 ANA	ANA	NYI
2024-03-10	ANA 1 - 6 NYI	NYI	NYI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYI	20	1	1.36
1	ANA	12	0	0.60
2	NYI	17	1	1.18
2	ANA	10	1	0.68
3	NYI	27	0	1.55
3	ANA	11	1	0.89

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 65.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

New York Islanders 1 - 3 Anaheim Ducks

Expected: 3.4 - 2.6