Los Angeles Kings at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions
2024-10-29 • SAP Center at San Jose
San Jose Sharks 4 - 2 Los Angeles Kings
🚨 Upset Win (67% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
SJS: 32.5%
LAK: 67.5%
Expected Goals
SJS: 2.83
LAK: 3.38
Total Goals
Median: 5.9
Over 5.5: 56%
Over 6.5: 40%
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 55% • SJS at home vs LAK: 3-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-07 | LAK 3 - 4 SJS | SJS | LAK |
| 2025-11-20 | SJS 4 - 3 LAK | SJS | SJS |
| 2025-10-28 | SJS 3 - 4 LAK | LAK | LAK |
| 2025-03-30 | LAK 8 - 1 SJS | LAK | LAK |
| 2024-11-25 | SJS 7 - 2 LAK | SJS | LAK |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SJS | 10 | 0 | 0.72 |
| 1 | LAK | 10 | 0 | 0.46 |
| 2 | SJS | 10 | 0 | 0.58 |
| 2 | LAK | 28 | 2 | 1.96 |
| 3 | SJS | 15 | 2 | 1.96 |
| 3 | LAK | 9 | 0 | 0.70 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 67.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
San Jose Sharks 4 - 2 Los Angeles Kings
Expected: 2.8 - 3.4
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