Winnipeg Jets at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions
2024-10-30 • Little Caesars Arena
Detroit Red Wings 2 - 6 Winnipeg Jets
🚨 Upset Loss (52% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
DET: 52.4%
WPG: 47.6%
Expected Goals
DET: 2.85
WPG: 3.77
Total Goals
Median: 6.4
Over 5.5: 69%
Over 6.5: 49%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
DET
John Gibson - 22-12-2 | 0.904 SV% | 2.62 GAA
WPG
Connor Hellebuyck - 13-16-7 | 0.900 SV% | 2.79 GAA
| Stat | DET | WPG |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.893 | 0.907 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.887 | 0.879 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.961 | 0.878 |
| GAA | 2.97 | 2.51 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • DET at home vs WPG: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-24 | WPG 1 - 5 DET | DET | WPG |
| 2025-12-31 | DET 2 - 1 WPG | DET | DET |
| 2025-01-04 | WPG 2 - 4 DET | DET | WPG |
| 2024-10-30 | DET 2 - 6 WPG | WPG | DET |
| 2023-12-20 | WPG 5 - 2 DET | WPG | WPG |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15:44 | WPG | Goal |
| 1 | 04:02 | WPG | Goal |
| 1 | 02:48 | WPG | Goal |
| 2 | 17:40 | WPG | Goal |
| 2 | 08:13 | WPG | Goal |
| 3 | 10:25 | WPG | Goal |
| 3 | 07:19 | WPG | Goal |
| 3 | 00:10 | WPG | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 52.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 8.0
Expected: 6.6
Score Breakdown
Detroit Red Wings 2 - 6 Winnipeg Jets
Expected: 2.8 - 3.8