Winnipeg Jets at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions

2024-10-30 • Little Caesars Arena

Detroit Red Wings 2 - 6 Winnipeg Jets

Win Probability

DET: 47.6%

WPG: 52.4%

Expected Goals

DET: 3.07

WPG: 3.42

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 46%

DET

Alex Lyon - 14-9-1 | 0.896 SV% | 2.81 GAA

WPG

Connor Hellebuyck - 9-10-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.51 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
DET	Alex Lyon	29	23	6	79.3%	2.84	1	-3.16
WPG	Connor Hellebuyck	21	19	2	90.5%	1.42	0	-0.58

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 45% • DET at home vs WPG: 2-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-10-04	DET 2 - 3 WPG	WPG	DET
2026-01-24	WPG 1 - 5 DET	DET	WPG
2025-12-31	DET 2 - 1 WPG	DET	DET
2025-01-04	WPG 2 - 4 DET	DET	WPG
2024-10-30	DET 2 - 6 WPG	WPG	WPG

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DET	13	0	0.56
1	WPG	13	1	1.05
2	DET	13	0	0.59
2	WPG	19	0	1.37
3	DET	8	0	0.27
3	WPG	11	0	0.42

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 52.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Detroit Red Wings 2 - 6 Winnipeg Jets

Expected: 3.1 - 3.4