Calgary Flames at Utah Hockey Club NHL Predictions

2024-10-30 • Delta Center

Utah Hockey Club 5 - 1 Calgary Flames

Win Probability

UTA: 67.1%

CGY: 32.9%

Expected Goals

UTA: 3.32

CGY: 2.63

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 42%

UTA

Connor Ingram - 9-8-4 | 0.882 SV% | 3.27 GAA

CGY

Dustin Wolf - 14-14-2 | 0.901 SV% | 2.82 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
UTA	Connor Ingram	31	30	1	96.8%	2.08	1	1.08
CGY	Dustin Wolf	28	23	5	82.1%	3.49	3	-1.51

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • UTA at home vs CGY: 3-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-12	CGY 4 - 1 UTA	CGY	UTA
2025-12-06	CGY 2 - 0 UTA	CGY	CGY
2025-10-15	UTA 3 - 1 CGY	UTA	UTA
2025-04-01	UTA 3 - 1 CGY	UTA	UTA
2025-01-02	CGY 3 - 5 UTA	UTA	UTA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	UTA	15	0	1.18
1	CGY	15	0	0.53
2	UTA	13	0	0.78
2	CGY	12	0	0.59
3	UTA	17	3	1.53
3	CGY	11	1	0.96

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 67.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Utah Hockey Club 5 - 1 Calgary Flames

Expected: 3.3 - 2.6