Seattle Kraken at Toronto Maple Leafs NHL Predictions

2024-10-31 • Scotiabank Arena

Toronto Maple Leafs 4 - 1 Seattle Kraken

Win Probability

TOR: 58.8%

SEA: 41.2%

Expected Goals

TOR: 3.36

SEA: 3.07

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 46%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • TOR at home vs SEA: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-29	SEA 5 - 2 TOR	SEA	SEA
2025-10-18	TOR 3 - 4 SEA	SEA	SEA
2025-02-06	SEA 1 - 3 TOR	TOR	TOR
2024-10-31	TOR 4 - 1 SEA	TOR	TOR
2024-01-21	SEA 1 - 3 TOR	TOR	SEA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	TOR	17	0	1.02
1	SEA	14	0	0.45
2	TOR	7	1	0.67
2	SEA	14	0	0.62
3	TOR	16	4	2.29
3	SEA	8	0	0.41

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 58.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Toronto Maple Leafs 4 - 1 Seattle Kraken

Expected: 3.4 - 3.1