Seattle Kraken at Toronto Maple Leafs NHL Predictions

2024-10-31 • Scotiabank Arena

Toronto Maple Leafs 4 - 1 Seattle Kraken

Win Probability

TOR: 61.5%

SEA: 38.5%

Expected Goals

TOR: 3.43

SEA: 2.85

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 43%

TOR

Joseph Woll - 8-4-1 | 0.914 SV% | 2.74 GAA

SEA

Joey Daccord - 10-9-5 | 0.903 SV% | 2.77 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
TOR	Joseph Woll	25	24	1	96.0%	1.48	0	0.48
SEA	Joey Daccord	30	26	4	86.7%	3.98	5	-0.02

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • TOR at home vs SEA: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-29	SEA 5 - 2 TOR	SEA	SEA
2025-10-18	TOR 3 - 4 SEA	SEA	TOR
2025-02-06	SEA 1 - 3 TOR	TOR	TOR
2024-10-31	TOR 4 - 1 SEA	TOR	TOR
2024-01-21	SEA 1 - 3 TOR	TOR	SEA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	TOR	17	0	1.02
1	SEA	14	0	0.45
2	TOR	7	1	0.67
2	SEA	14	0	0.62
3	TOR	16	4	2.29
3	SEA	8	0	0.41

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 61.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Toronto Maple Leafs 4 - 1 Seattle Kraken

Expected: 3.4 - 2.8